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SYRIA-IRAN-RUSSIA-TURKEY-CONFLICT-SUMMIT
Fate of Syria’s Idlib in balance at Tehran summit
TEHRAN, Sept 7, 2018 (BSS/AFP) – The presidents of Iran, Russia and
Turkey meet Friday in Tehran for a summit set to decide the future of Idlib
province amid fears of a humanitarian disaster in Syria’s last major rebel
bastion.
Hundreds of civilians fled the northwestern province Thursday as government
forces and their allies readied for what could be the last — and bloodiest –
– major battle of Syria’s devastating seven-year civil war.
Seized from government forces in 2015, Idlib and adjacent areas form the
final major chunk of Syrian territory still under opposition control, home to
some three million people — around half of them displaced from other parts
of the country, according to the United Nations.
Neighbouring Turkey, which has long backed Syrian rebels, fears the assault
could prompt an influx of desperate Syrians attempting to find safety on its
territory.
But regime backers Russia and Iran have sworn to wipe out “terrorists” and
Syrian President Bashar al-Assad has declared his determination to retake
control of the entire country.
Ankara, Moscow and Tehran are also guarantors of the Astana process, a
track of negotiations that has eclipsed the UN-led Geneva process and helped
Assad re-assert his authority over the country.
Iran’s President Hassan Rouhani will host his Russian and Turkish
counterparts Vladimir Putin and Recep Tayyip Erdogan on Friday afternoon.
Iranian television reported that the three leaders would each have
“bilateral meetings” on the sidelines of the main summit.
Just hours later, the UN Security Council will also meet at Washington’s
request, also to discuss Idlib.
The Tehran meetings could determine the scale and the timeline of the Idlib
offensive, which the UN has warned may displace 800,000 people.
– ‘Ticking time bomb’ –
Idlib is dominated by the jihadist group Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, led by the
former Al-Qaeda branch in Syria.
Neighbouring Turkey has limited sway over the jihadists who control an
estimated 60 percent of the province but it backs rebel groups there and has
12 military “observation points” across the province.
Idlib’s population has swelled as the regime chalked up a series of
victories in other parts of the country, reaching evacuation deals that saw
tens of thousands of people bussed to the northwestern province.
Russian and Iranian support has been key to the regime’s successes.
While Ankara has said it will try to prevent the assault taking place, both
Moscow and Tehran confirmed their support for Assad ahead of Friday’s summit.
The Kremlin said the Syrian army was preparing to solve the problem of
“terrorism” in the rebel stronghold.
“We have killed, we are killing and we will kill terrorists… whether that
be in Aleppo, Idlib or other parts of Syria,” said Kremlin spokeswoman Maria
Zakharova.
Her Iranian counterpart, Bahram Ghassemi, assured Damascus of Iran’s
support and willingness to “continue its role as adviser and help” for the
Idlib campaign.
Al-Watan, a Syrian daily close to the government, reported on Monday that
the army’s operation is likely “to immediately follow the summit”.
Tehran has said it wants to help Assad’s forces rid Idlib of rebels with
the “least possible loss of human life”, while Moscow said efforts were
ongoing to separate “normal fighters from terrorists”.
Russia wants Turkey to use its influence to rein in rebels and the
jihadists.
On Wednesday, the UN warned of a “bloodbath” in the province, fearing that
an offensive will cause a humanitarian catastrophe unprecedented since the
beginning of the Syrian conflict, which has left more than 350,000 people
dead since 2011.
French Foreign Minister Jean-Yves Le Drian warned Thursday of the risk of
humanitarian disaster in Idlib, describing the province as a “ticking time
bomb, both in humanitarian and security terms”.
BSS/AFP/MRI/0903 HRS