BCN-09 Bank of Japan tweaks monetary policy, lowers inflation forecast

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BCN-09

JAPAN-ECONOMY-BOJ-FINANCE-INFLATION-LEAD

Bank of Japan tweaks monetary policy, lowers inflation forecast

TOKYO, July 31, 2018 (BSS/AFP) – Japan’s central bank said Tuesday it
would make adjustments to its ultra-loose monetary policy for the first time
in nearly two years, and revised down its inflation forecasts.

The Bank of Japan maintained its 2.0 percent inflation target, but in an
acknowledgement of the difficulty it has had achieving the figure, it lowered
its forecasts through fiscal 2020.

It also said it would adjust its purchases of exchange-traded funds, and
introduce flexibility to its bond buying, in a nod to concerns about the
effects of its monetary easing programme.

In a statement, the central bank said it would seek to keep yields on
benchmark 10-year bonds at around zero percent, but added “the yields may
move upward and downward to some extent” and “the Bank will conduct purchases
in a flexible manner”.

The bank may also “increase or decrease the amount of purchases depending
on market conditions”, it said, in the first adjustment to its programme
since September 2016.

The BoJ has struggled despite years of targeted monetary policy to achieve
the 2.0 percent inflation seen as necessary to turbocharge the world’s third
largest economy.

In a nod to those difficulties it revised down its inflation forecasts,
saying it now expected inflation for fiscal 2018 of 1.1 percent, rising to
just 1.5 percent in fiscal 2019 and 1.6 percent for fiscal 2020.

That will leave it far from reaching the 2.0 percent target by 2020, which
until recently the central bank insisted was still possible.

The BoJ has kept its super-loose asset-buying and negative interest rate
policy even as the US Federal Reserve and European Central Bank have
tightened their policies.

BoJ governor Haruhiko Kuroda has insisted the current policy is
sustainable but said the Bank would study its negative impact on the market.

Market analysts have said the BoJ’s massive easing programme is already
skewing the market for the Japanese government bonds as well as the country’
stocks market to a lesser extent.
BSS/AFP/MR/ 1133 hrs