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ALGERIA-PROTESTS-POLITICS
Algerians to mobilise to mark protest movement’s first birthday
ALGIERS, Feb 21, 2020 (BSS/AFP) – Algeria this weekend marks a year since
the birth of an unprecedented protest movement known as “Hirak” — one that
quickly forced an ailing president from power and is now looking to maintain
momentum.
Anti-regime protesters and groups have designated Friday and Saturday a
landmark moment, mobilising to “disqualify the system’s agenda of self-
renewal, and to lay the foundations for a new republic.”
Protests first erupted on February 22 last year, in response to President
Abdelaziz Bouteflika announcing he intended a run for a fifth term — despite
being debilitated by a 2013 stroke.
Less than six weeks later, he stepped down after losing the support of the
then-army chief in the face of enormous weekly demonstrations.
But despite hordes — diplomats said “millions” — turning out after
Bouteflika’s fall to demand an overhaul of the entire system, the military
maintained a political stranglehold in the months that followed.
The election of Abdelmadjid Tebboune, once a prime minister under
Bouteflika, as president in December appears to have reinforced the regime’s
hand and further stalled the protest movement.
But many boycotted the poll — even the official turnout was below 40
percent — and demonstrators remain numerous.
– Challenges –
“Soldiers have returned to their barracks, civilians are in power, so there
is a democratic and constitutional facade” exactly as before, said Dalia
Ghanem, a researcher at the Carnegie Middle East Center based in Beirut.
“Tebboune is just the civilian face of a regime that remains in the hands
of the military.”
But “the capacity of the regime to adapt without really changing, and its
resilience, will be tested in the coming years,” she contended.
It will dole out political handouts through limited reforms, she said, but
an economic crisis caused by low oil prices will limit its largesse and hence
its scope to maintain social peace.
The protest movement, meanwhile, has plenty of rethinking ahead, if it is
to maintain momentum.
The size of marches across the country on Friday and Saturday will
represent a key test of the spontaneous, leaderless and youth-dominated anti-
regime campaign.
Will it grasp President Tebboune’s extended hand and risk being swallowed
up by the regime?
Or does it need to gear itself up for an institutional game, with the risk
of exposing its own divisions and contradictions?
– New order –
But whatever the challenges ahead, Hirak has already forced change on
Algeria’s political order, in a context where real opposition was
consistently hindered, gagged and co-opted during Bouteflika’s two decades at
the helm.
And above all, in maintaining an overwhelmingly peaceful line, the movement
has “succeeded in ensuring there has been no bloody confrontation or brutal
repression,” said historian Karima Direche.
This marks a contrast with other countries, and also Algeria’s own past
experience.
“To see Algerians congregating every Friday for the last year — women,
men, Berbers… Muslim brothers and secularists — in the streets is
extraordinary”, said Ghanem.
“A wall of a fear… has been destroyed by this new, heavily politicised
generation, which knows what it wants,” she added.
Direche sees the coming year as allowing “stock-taking of what Algerians
want collectively”.
If the movement succeeds, “Algeria could become a case study”, Direche
hopes, with much resting on the coming year.
BSS/AFP/GMR/0920 hrs