ZAGREB, Dec 23, 2019 (BSS/AFP) – Croatia’s conservative president narrowly
made it to a run-off election against a leftist former premier on Sunday,
after a nationalist folk singer won over a large chunk of her camp’s far-
right wing.
The hotly contested first round vote signalled the appeal of populism in a
Balkan country struggling with an influx of migrants at its borders, an
emigration exodus and widespread corruption.
It also leaves Croatia waiting to know who will be head of state as the
country takes over the European Union’s rotating presidency in the new year.
With nearly all ballots counted, centre-left former prime minister Zoran
Milanovic took the lead with 29.5 percent of the vote, according to the
electoral commission.
Incumbent President Kolinda Grabar-Kitarovic garnered 26.6 percent, eking
out a second place finish just two points ahead of 57-year-old far-right
singer Miroslav Skoro.
Skoro, whose patriotic folk tunes were a hit in the 1990s, won nearly a
quarter of the vote with campaign promises such as pardoning a notorious war
criminal and deploying troops to stop migrants at the border.
Though Skoro’s nationalist pledges didn’t push him to round two, analysts
said the strong showing revealed a clear shift to the right among Croatia’s
electorate.
As Grabar-Kitarovic addressed supporters late Sunday, the 51-year-old urged
them to unite for the run-off on January 5.
“Now we have to get together and let’s go for a victory!” she said, this
time describing her opponent Skoro as a “co-candidate on my political
spectrum”.
– Unite the right –
Grabar-Kitarovic became Croatia’s first female president — a largely
ceremonial role — in 2015 with the backing of the centre-right HDZ, which
has led Croatia for most of the past three decades.
She has often wavered between representing moderates and pandering to the
nationalist faction.
If she fails to unite the two wings of the party in the run-off, analysts
say it would spell trouble for HDZ’s moderate Prime Minister Andrej Plenkovic
when he faces general elections next year.
“The radical right showed its force,” said political analyst Tihomir Cipek,
adding it mirrored trends in other parts of Europe.
“We will see whether it will be repeated in the parliamentary elections,”
he said.
In the meantime, Plenkovic’s government will be tasked with holding the EU
presidency for a six-month term, with thorny issues like Brexit and the
Western Balkans’ membership bids on the agenda.
– Past still present –
The left appeared to rally around Milanovic, a 53-year-old who served as
prime minister from 2011 to 2016 and hails from the Social Democrat
opposition.
Considered driven by supporters but pompous by critics, he has been trying
to make a comeback with a promise to make Croatia a “normal” liberal
democracy with an independent judiciary and respect for minorities.
“We are going into a second round and not a war, wars are over,” he told
supporters after Sunday’s vote, in an apparent reference to his rivals’
frequent references to Croatia’s 1990s independence war.
“I want a country of equality,” he added.
While Croatia is known globally for its stunning coastline and island
getaways, the Adriatic country is no paradise for locals who are fed up with
a sluggish economy and rampant corruption.
And yet the campaign was light on policy ideas with many candidates instead
attacking each other with war-era grievances.
“They stole the space for issues of vital importance to most people’s
lives, including the young who are leaving in increasing numbers,” lamented
Matija Horvat, a 27-year-old economist.
The government has struggled in particular to curb the outflow of Croatians
who are packing their bags for better pay and professional opportunities in
wealthier EU states.
Many who leave also cite the culture of nepotism and corruption at home,
plus poor public services, as key motivations.
Labour gaps have started to affect key industries like tourism, which
accounts for a fifth of Croatia’s GDP.
At the same time, authorities have taken a hardline stance against migrants
from Asia, the Middle East and North Africa who have been trying to slip into
its borders on the way to Western Europe.