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Asian markets tempered by US-China doubts
HONG KONG, July 25, 2019 (BSS/AFP) – Asian markets were tempered Thursday
after two days of gains as doubts emerged over next week’s US-China trade
meeting.
Reports that Donald Trump’s Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer will
lead a delegation to China next week to resume trade talks buoyed markets on
Wednesday.
The meeting would be the first head-to-head since negotiations were cut
short in May by Trump’s surprise decision to hit China with more tariffs for
what he called Beijing’s backsliding.
But the release of a Chinese defence white paper that accuses Washington
of undermining “global strategic stability” has softened hopes of a
resolution to the long-running trade battle.
Traders had “growing doubts that anything meaningful will come out of next
week’s face to face between US and Chinese trade delegates as non-trade-
related tensions start to flare”, said Stephen Innes of Vanguard Markets.
Investors were also wary of a slump in manufacturing activity, amid signs
of Eurozone business growth stalling.
Innes said that weakness in US manufacturing would likely spill over into
the services sector.
“When this happens in September or October, it will trigger one of the
most significant US dollar and US asset sell signals of the year,” he added.
– Central Bank reprieve –
A lacklustre start to Wednesday trade on Wall Street finished with a surge
on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq indexes despite the announcement of a regulatory
crackdown on tech giants, thanks to increasingly dovish statements by central
banks.
Analysts expect the European Central Bank to point to a rate cut in
September, while markets are pricing in a reprieve from the Federal Reserve
when it meets next week.
“Equity markets continue a record run on the back of lower rates, and even
the mighty Fed which hiked four times in 2018 is now ready to admit defeat
and walk back its monetary policy with a rate cut in July,” said OANDA senior
market analyst Alfonso Esparza.
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Hong Kong and Tokyo were both up 0.3 percent in early trade, while
Shanghai was 0.2 percent higher.
Sydney was up 0.4 percent after Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison
vowed Canberra would be “one of the first cabs off the rank” in working
towards a trade deal with Britain following its departure from the European
Union.
Singapore was up 0.2 percent in morning trade while Seoul and Taiwan were
all down.
On currency markets, the pound pared back its rise after Boris Johnson
took over as prime minister on Wednesday.
– Key figures around 0250 GMT –
Tokyo – Nikkei 225: UP 0.3 percent at 21,781.85 (break)
Hong Kong – Hang Seng: UP 0.3 percent at 28,598.07
Shanghai – Composite: UP 0.2 percent at 2927.09
Pound/dollar: UP at $1.2481 from $1.2476 at 2050 GMT
Euro/pound: DOWN at 89.22 pence from 89.25 pence
Euro/dollar: FLAT at $1.1136
Dollar/yen: DOWN at 108.15 yen from 108.21 yen
West Texas Intermediate: UP 21 cents at $56.09 per barrel
Brent North Sea crude: UP 17 cents at $63.35 per barrel
New York – Dow: DOWN 0.3 percent at 27,269.97 (close)
London – FTSE 100: DOWN 0.7 percent at 7,501.46 (close)
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