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Asian markets on course to end week on positive note
HONG KONG, July 12, 2019 (BSS/AFP) – Asian equities mostly rose in early
trade Friday but gains were slight as investors applied the brakes after
recent advances, with debate now focusing on the depth of an expected US
interest rate cut.
Donald Trump also sparked some unease after having a dig at China by
accusing it of backsliding on a trade promise — just days after the two
sides tentatively began phone talks on resolving their tariffs war.
Still, the region is on course for a positive end to a week dominated by
Federal Reserve boss Jerome Powell’s congressional testimony, which all but
flicked the switch on a rate cut at the end of the month.
A second day of testimony Thursday essentially reiterated his point.
His comments, which highlighted economic headwinds from the trade war and
slowing global growth, sparked a rally on world markets.
“We have a sitting (policy board) that is prepared to over-deliver on
markets’ expectations as… Powell’s monetary policy testimony unambiguously
reinforces his inclination to cut rates aggressively,” said Vanguard Markets’
Stephen Innes.
He added that even a forecast-beating inflation report on Thursday was
unable to deter traders from betting on a reduction.
“Not surprisingly there is 100 percent consensus the Fed is going to cut
in July. But we are still no closer to settling the 25 or 50 (basis points)
July rate cut debate.”
– Trump sows uncertainty –
In early trade, Hong Kong was up 0.4 percent and Shanghai added 0.3
percent while Tokyo went into the break marginally higher.
Singapore and Seoul each gained 0.3 percent, Taipei put on 0.1 percent and
Manila rose 0.3 percent.
But Sydney dipped 0.2 percent, with Wellington 0.3 percent off and Jakarta
0.1 percent lower.
The broad gains follow another record lead from Wall Street, where the Dow
ended above 27,000 for the first time.
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As investors head into the weekend Trump provided a seed of uncertainty
with his tweet hitting out at China, just two weeks after meeting its
President Xi Jinping and telling the world that trade talks were “back on
track”.
He accused China of not fulfilling a pledge to buy more agricultural
goods, saying it was “letting us down in that they have not been buying the
agricultural products from our great Farmers that they said they would”.
“Hopefully they will start soon!”
While the remark did not spark a sell-off on equity markets, observers
pointed out that it highlighted how much work needed to be done before the
economic superpowers reach an agreement.
There are also lingering concerns about Trump’s decision to order a probe
into France’s planned tax on internet services as Paris targets US titans
Google, Apple, Facebook and Amazon.
On currency markets the yen, euro and pound held gains against the dollar
though the greenback clawed back some of its past days’ losses against
higher-yielding, riskier assets such as the South Korean won and Indonesian
rupiah.
– Key figures around 0230 GMT –
Tokyo – Nikkei 225: FLAT at 21,653.13 (break)
Hong Kong – Hang Seng: UP 0.4 percent at 28,532.89
Shanghai – Composite: UP 0.3 percent at 2,924.99
Euro/dollar: UP at $1.1262 from $1.1255 at 2130 GMT
Pound/dollar: UP at $1.2536 from $1.2526
Dollar/yen: DOWN at 108.40 yen from 108.45 yen
West Texas Intermediate: UP 36 cents at $60.56 per barrel
Brent North Sea crude: UP 37 cents at $66.89 per barrel
New York – Dow: UP 0.9 percent at 27,088.08 (close)
London – FTSE: DOWN 0.3 percent at 7,509.82 (close)
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