BCN-01-02 Asian markets plunge as Trump threatens to hike China tariffs

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Asian markets plunge as Trump threatens to hike China tariffs

HONG KONG, May 6, 2019 (BSS/AFP) – President Donald Trump sent Asian
markets plunging Monday after threatening to hike tariffs on $200 billion of
Chinese goods at the end of the week in a bid to speed up stuttering trade
talks between the economic superpowers.

Shanghai and Hong Kong equities led big losses across the region, with the
Chinese yuan also taking a battering after the president threw a spanner into
the high-level negotiations, which many observers were expecting to wrap up
imminently.

“For 10 months, China has been paying Tariffs to the USA of 25% on 50
Billion Dollars of High Tech, and 10% on 200 Billion Dollars of other goods,”
Trump tweeted Sunday night. “The 10% will go up to 25% on Friday.”

The warning will throw a shadow over the next round of talks, with a
delegation from Beijing due in Washington this week, with Bloomberg News
reporting the Chinese side are considering their position.

The two sides have imposed tariffs on $360 billion in two-way trade since
last year. But Trump and his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping agreed a truce in
December, helping fan a surge across world stock markets for the past four
months.

“Trump has taken the proverbial sledgehammer to the walnut this morning and
the only two words likely to be on the minds of traders and investors this
week are ‘trade talks’,” said OANDA senior market analyst Jeffrey Halley.

In morning trade Hong Kong tumbled 3.6 percent and Shanghai was off more
than five percent as investors there returned for the first time since
Tuesday.

Singapore was off three percent and Taipei shed 1.8 percent, while Sydney
and Wellington were each one percent down.

Manila and Jakarta were also sharply lower. Tokyo and Seoul were closed for
holidays.

– Yuan tumbles –

“It’s making the outcomes more binary, with everybody focused on the Friday
deadline,” said Joyce Chang, chair of global research at JPMorgan Chase & Co.

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“There doesn’t seem to be much leeway now to much go past that. It’s going
to mean that investors will be very focused on the trade issues even beyond
China,” she told Bloomberg TV.

The yuan also took a hiding, shedding more than 1.3 percent at one point
against the dollar, its heaviest fall in more than three years. The currency
had been sitting around 10-month highs on the back of optimism the two sides
would sign off on a trade pact.

“Investors will remain bearish on the yuan, as they reprice in trade war
risks because the new developments are a reversal of previous positive
progress,” Ken Cheung, senior foreign-exchange strategist at Mizuho Bank.
“The news was unexpected.”

The flight to safety saw the dollar surge against higher-yielding, higher-
risk units, with South Africa’s rand off one percent, the Mexican peso 0.9
percent lower and the Australian dollar 0.6 percent lower.

On oil markets both main contracts were hammered more than two percent by
worries that a trade war between the world’s top two economies could hit
demand for the commodity.

Adding to weakness in the sector is the US drive to increase output, which
comes as it reports rising stockpiles, which are offsetting unrest in Libya,
tensions with Iran and production caps by OPEC and Russia.

However, while trading floors are awash with red, Stephen Innes at SPI
Asset Management remained positive.

“We do know the president tends to retreat from more aggressive displays,
so I am viewing this thinly veiled threat as political posturing or a
tactical decision to apply more pressure on China to put through a trade deal
that aligns with the best USA economic interest at heart.

“Despite US-China trade talks hitting an apparent impasse based on (the)
tweet, I think a deal will be signed shortly.”

Trump’s outburst overshadowed another blockbuster US jobs report Friday
that reinforced the view that the economy is in rude health, while measured
wage inflation eased pressure on the Federal Reserve to hike interest rates.

– Key figures around 0300 GMT –

Hong Kong – Hang Seng: DOWN 3.6 percent at 28,999.34

Shanghai – Composite: DOWN 5.2 percent at 2,918.44

Tokyo – Nikkei 225: Closed for holiday

Euro/dollar: DOWN at $1.1186 from $1.1202 at 2050 GMT on Friday

Pound/dollar: DOWN at $1.3128 from $1.3167

Dollar/yen: DOWN at 110.43 yen from 111.11 yen

Oil – West Texas Intermediate: DOWN $1.43 at $60.51 per barrel

Oil – Brent Crude: DOWN $1.44 at $69.41 per barrel

New York – Dow: UP 0.8 percent at 26,504.95 (close)

London – FTSE 100: UP 0.4 percent at 7,380.64 (close)

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