BCN-04 Japan’s factory output rises, unemployment stays low

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BCN-04

JAPAN-INDUSTRY-UNEMPLOYMENT

Japan’s factory output rises, unemployment stays low

TOKYO, March 29, 2019 (BSS/AFP) – Japan’s closely watched factory output
rose modestly in February with unemployment staying at record low levels,
official data showed Friday, underscoring the patchy recovery of the world’s
third largest economy.

Factory output for February rose 1.4 percent month-on-month after a 3.4
percent dip in January, the trade and industry ministry said Friday.

The reading compares with market expectations of a 1.0 percent rise.

“The recovery in output is not strong, reflecting weak exports,” Taro
Saito, senior economist at NLI Research Institute, told AFP.

Industrial production was particularly weak in electronic parts and
devices, “because these products are for exports to China” and have been
affected by a Chinese economic slowdown, he added.

The ministry said Japan’s factory output is “pausing” on the whole, but
forecast a rise in March and April.

But Saito said the pace of any rise “is likely to still be weak and can
even be interpreted as flat, so we will be carefully watching more economic
indicators ahead” to see whether the economy is on the verge of a downturn.

Meanwhile, the country’s jobless rate fell to 2.3 percent from 2.5 percent
the previous month, its lowest level since 1993, the internal affairs
ministry said, as the country’s job market remains tight against the backdrop
of an ageing population.

The jobs-to-applicants ratio is 1.63, with 163 job offers going for every
100 job hunters, separate data from the labour ministry said.

The latest data came after Japan’s economy grew 0.5 percent quarter-on-
quarter in the last quarter of 2018, suggesting a mild turnaround after eight
consecutive quarters of growth ended in January-March last year.

But the cabinet office has recently revised down its judgement on the
economy, as a leading business confidence index declined in January for the
third straight month.

It assessed the latest index as “signalling a possible turning point”
towards a downturn, the cabinet office has said.

Analysts have also warned that US-led trade wars could be a major risk
factor for an economy still struggling to win a long battle against
deflation.

BSS/AFP/HR/0925