BCN-04,05 Trudeau offers election year budget treats

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CANADA-BUDGET

Trudeau offers election year budget treats

OTTAWA, March 20, 2019 (BSS/AFP) – Canada’s government doled out goodies
for almost everyone in an election year budget Tuesday that looks to brace a
slowing economy and sagging support for Justin Trudeau’s Liberals.

The spending binge appeared calculated to appeal to the broadest number of
voters.

But pundits said it likely won’t be enough to turn the page on a political
scandal dogging Trudeau, and lamented a lack of signature initiatives and no
clear path to a balanced budget.

For weeks, the Trudeau government has been rocked by accusations it sought
to shield engineering giant SNC-Lavalin from prosecution for alleged fraud
and bribery in Libya.

Four senior officials quit over the scandal, plunging the Liberals behind
the opposition Tories in opinion polls for the first time in the golden boy
premier’s first term.

With only seven months until the next election and the economy forecast to
brake suddenly before then, the Liberals desperately needed to wow voters.

In a speech to parliament delayed by a Tory protest over the SNL-Lavalin
affair, Finance Minister Bill Morneau pointed to past achievements — 900,000
new jobs since 2015 and the lowest unemployment in 40 years — while
acknowledging fears that the best is behind Canadians.

“There’s a growing sense of uncertainty taking root around the world,”
Morneau said. “And Canada is not immune to those worries.”

“A good job, the ability to make ends meet, the chance to build a life
that’s at least as good as the one your parents had — that’s what we all
want,” he said.

“With this budget we are continuing our proven and successful plan of
investing in the middle class.”

Canada’s economy surged after the Liberals took office in 2015 and
unleashed a massive stimulus. But growth is forecast to slow to 1.8 percent
this year and 1.6 percent in 2020.

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CANADA-BUDGET 2 LAST OTTAWA

– ‘A lot of sprinkles’ –

Under the government’s plan, the fiscal deficit would balloon to Can$19.8
billion (US$14.9 billion), or 0.9 percent of Canada’s gross domestic product.

It includes slightly higher revenues of Can$338.8 billion, and Can$355.6
billion in program spending and public debt charges. Over five years, new
spending would top Can$18 billion.

The federal debt, meanwhile, is forecast to rise to Can$705.4 billion, or
30.7 percent of the economy, and keep rising with no end in sight.

New initiatives include affordable housing for millennials, faster rural
internet, arresting the decline of Canada’s 70-plus indigenous languages,
electric car incentives and boosting seniors’ benefits.

There is also cash for cancer and dementia care, anti-hate initiatives and
tighter controls at the US border.

Former parliamentary budget officer Kevin Page noted more than 120 budget
measures he framed as “a lot of sprinkles to make a lot of constituents as
happy as possible.”

“In the context of a two trillion dollar economy, that spending is not
going to change the economy fundamentally, but could make people’s lives a
little bit better with relatively small amounts — that’s the gamble the
government is taking,” Page told AFP.

In some areas, such as a child welfare crisis gripping indigenous
communities, “a little money could make a big difference. There could be
enough of those measures throughout the budget,” Page said.

“But it’s not a budget politically that is going to change the dial on the
current (scandal).”

BSS/AFP/HR/0935