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Pound holds its ground after May’s Brexit battering
HONG KONG, Jan 16, 2019 (BSS/AFP) – The pound edged down Wednesday after
the record defeat of British Prime Minister Theresa May’s Brexit plan but
mostly held its ground as investors consider the next likely developments in
the long-running saga.
Sterling tanked to a near two-year low soon after the government’s proposal
on leaving the EU was soundly beaten on Tuesday evening, but it soon bounced
back as traders bet the vote reinforced their view that there would not be a
“no-deal” exit.
And while it was slightly lower in Asia the pound managed to avoid the sort
of pummelling many had predicted and analysts say the positive news is that
the options for the future are narrowing, which is largely positive.
With May expected to win a vote of no confidence called by the opposition
Labour Party on Wednesday, talk will move to what happens next.
Analysts say May could ask to delay Britain’s March 29 exit as she looks
for a more palatable agreement from her EU peers, while there is growing
speculation of a general election and even another referendum.
“Momentum is shifting away from the harder Brexit route and towards a
number of options ranging from postponement and second referendum. That is
pound supportive,” said Gavin Friend at National Australia Bank.
But he added: “I don’t see the pound rallying much until markets are sure
the (ruling) Conservatives have seen off the confidence motion.”
Meanwhile London may still leave the bloc without a back-up.
“We cannot ignore the fact that it takes very little effort for no-deal,
whilst it takes a vast amount of effort to avoid it,” warned Neil Wilson,
chief market analyst at Markets.com.
Asian equity markets were mixed after Tuesday’s rally that was fuelled by
Chinese plans to cut taxes in a bid to support the stuttering economy.
Traders are also growing increasingly worried about the lack of movement in
the US over the government shutdown, which is now in its fourth week, with
both sides digging their heels in.
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By the break Tokyo was off 0.7 percent, while Hong Kong eased 0.2 percent
after a two percent rally Tuesday. Shanghai also slipped 0.2 percent.
But Sydney rose 0.1 percent, while Singapore and Seoul added 0.2 percent
and Wellington put on 0.5 percent.
Investors are now gearing up for the start of the corporate earnings season
and some are concerned that the effects of recent soft economic data globally
— as well as the China-US trade war — will begin to show up in accounts.
– Key figures around 0230 GMT –
Pound/dollar: DOWN at $1.2837 from $1.2871 at 2140 GMT
Tokyo – Nikkei 225: DOWN 0.7 percent at 20,414.32 (break)
Hong Kong – Hang Seng: DOWN 0.2 percent at 26,779.61
Shanghai – Composite: DOWN 0.2 at 2,565.82
Euro/dollar: DOWN at $1.1405 from $1.1413
Dollar/yen: DOWN at 108.46 yen from 108.72
Oil – West Texas Intermediate: DOWN 33 cents at $52.78 per barrel
Oil – Brent Crude: DOWN 33 cents at $60.31 per barrel
New York – DOW: UP 0.7 percent at 24,065.59 (close)
London – FTSE 100: UP 0.6 percent at 6,895.02 (close)
BSS/AFP/HR/0924