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Asian markets mixed as Trump threatens to ramp up trade war
HONG KONG, Nov 27, 2018 (BSS/AFP) – Asian markets were mixed Tuesday as
dealers focused on crunch G20 talks between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping, with
the US president warning he will ramp up his trade war with China if the two
do not reach a deal.
With the economic superpowers in the middle of an increasingly bitter
standoff, there are hopes the two leaders will be able to work out an
agreement that brings them back from the brink of a tariffs row that
threatens to dent global growth.
In an interview with the Wall Street Journal published Monday, Trump said
he thought it “highly unlikely” the US would hold off more than doubling
duties on $250 billion of Chinese imports if there is no breakthrough.
“If we don’t make a deal, then I’m going to put the $267 billion
additional on,” he told the newspaper, referring to the remainder of Chinese
imports that so far have not been hit with tariffs.
“The only deal would be China has to open up their country to competition
from the United States.”
While some observers suggested the comments were a typical Trump ploy to
apply maximum pressure on Beijing heading into the meeting, there remain
fears about what the tycoon has in mind.
“It doesn’t sound like we will see Donald the Deal Maker but instead Trump
the Trade Warrior at G20,” said Stephen Innes, head of Asia-Pacific trade at
OANDA.
Asian traders moved cautiously in early exchanges after Monday’s global
rally, which was fuelled by rising oil prices, Italy’s softer tone in its
budget standoff with Brussels and Britain’s Brexit agreement with the
European Union.
– Oil outlook warning –
Tokyo ended the morning 0.1 percent higher, Shanghai added 0.1 percent and
Sydney rose 0.5 percent but Hong Kong and Singapore each slipped 0.6 percent.
Seoul and Wellington both added 0.3 percent but Taipei shed 0.6 percent
and Manila gave up 0.5 percent.
While the meeting is the main event this week, investors are also keeping
an eye on speeches from top Federal Reserve officials including boss Jerome
Powell, which could signal a softer pace of interest rate hikes.
Rising US borrowing costs — fuelled by surging US growth — have been a
major cause of concern for investors but recent comments from the central
banker appear to show a more dovish outlook for 2019 as the global economy
slows.
On oil markets both main contracts remained under pressure despite
Monday’s jump, with market-watchers waiting for next month’s gathering of
OPEC and non-OPEC members hoping they will announce a cut in output.
The commodity has been hammered since early October by a series of issues
including the uncertain global outlook, the trade war, rising supplies,
slowing demand and weakness in China.
As trade tensions begin to bite on the global economy, analysts are
predicting slower growth into next year, meaning there would be less demand
for oil.
“It has been our long-held view that slower global economic activity would
be a factor weighing on oil demand in 2019 and that the market would move
into surplus,” London-based Capital Economics said.
– Key figures around 0245 GMT –
Tokyo – Nikkei 225: UP 0.1 percent at 21,843.37 (break)
Hong Kong – Hang Seng: DOWN 0.6 percent at 26,226.26
Shanghai – Composite: UP 0.4 percent at 2,586.54
Euro/dollar: UP at $1.1332 from $1.1326 at 2130 GMT
Euro/pound: UP at 88.46 pence from 88.44 pence
Pound/dollar: UP at $1.2811 from $1.2806
Oil – West Texas Intermediate: DOWN 26 cents at $51.37 per barrel
Oil – Brent Crude: DOWN 17 cents at $60.31 per barrel
New York – Dow Jones: UP 1.5 percent at 24,640.24 (close)
London – FTSE 100: UP 1.2 percent at 7,036.00 (close)
BSS/AFP/GMR/1002 hrs