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Asian markets mixed but traders on edge, pound holds ground
HONG KONG, Nov 15, 2018 (BSS/AFP) – Asian investors moved nervously
Thursday as they struggled in the face of multiple headwinds, while oil
prices resumed their drop and the pound struggled to hold its gains.
Fears about the China-US trade war, rising Federal Reserve interest rates,
tensions within the European Union and slowing growth in most economies have
helped drive stocks south for the past few months.
And this week it has been the turn of the crude market to drive the sell-
off, dragging energy firms as it dropped like a stone on slowing demand and
high output, while US sanctions on major producer Iran were not as severe as
expected.
While OPEC and its kingpin Saudi Arabia have said they will tighten the
taps to put an end to the recent sell-off — both main contracts have fallen
around a fifth from their early October highs — the US has pushed up
production.
Calls from Donald Trump for lower prices, a stronger US dollar against
emerging market units and soft Chinese growth have also been factors in
depressing the market.
And despite a brief rise in oil prices Wednesday, observers do not expect
a rebound any time soon.
“The toxic elixir of weakening global demand and oversupply suggests
upticks (in oil prices) will run into substantial selling as numerous bearish
factors are weighing on sentiment,” said Stephen Innes, head of Asia-Pacific
trade at OANDA.
Energy firms were mixed Thursday as traders took a breather from the heavy
selling of the past few days, with Hong Kong-listed CNOOC up 1.5 percent but
Inpex down 0.3 percent in Tokyo.
On broader markets, Hong Kong edged up 0.5 percent, Shanghai was 0.8
percent higher, while Seoul and Taipei each added 0.2 percent.
However, Tokyo ended the morning down 0.3 percent, Sydney eased 0.4
percent and Singapore was off 0.1 percent.
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– Deal or no deal? –
There was little reaction to a Bloomberg report that China had submitted a
series of trade concessions — which were said not to meet US demands — to
the Trump administration.
The move comes ahead of a G20 summit this month, where Trump will meet
Chinese President Xi Jinping.
“I suspect equity traders will be more focused on the ‘a long road that
lies ahead’ as we can only assume it will be filled with numerous potholes,”
Innes said. “As such we could expect risk sentiment to continue shading to
the dark side of the equation.”
The unease in Asia comes after another negative performance on Wall Street
where indices hit their lowest levels since late October, with traders also
depressed by a warning from a top Democrat indicating the party would put the
brakes on deregulation.
On currency markets, the pound was holding up after news of Prime Minister
Theresa May’s success in pushing her Brexit plan through cabinet but analysts
warned she faced a tough time getting it through parliament next month.
With many of her ministers and plenty of backbenchers — as well as the
opposition — against her breakthrough deal with Brussels, there are doubts
she has the muscle to get her way, leaving an uncertain future for the
British economy and the pound.
“We still can’t say with any confidence whether this deal, no deal, or
indeed a second referendum, is now the most probable outcome to this ongoing
saga,” said Ray Attrill, head of forex strategy at National Australia Bank.
– Key figures around 0230 GMT –
Tokyo – Nikkei 225: DOWN 0.3 percent at 21,791.87 (break)
Hong Kong – Hang Seng: UP 0.5 percent at 25,769.69
Shanghai – Composite: UP 0.8 percent at 2,653.79
Pound/dollar: UP at $1.3001 from $1.2989 at 2200 GMT
Euro/dollar: UP at $1.1318 from $1.1307
Dollar/yen: DOWN at 113.54 yen from 113.64 yen
Oil – West Texas Intermediate: DOWN 32 cents at $55.93
Oil – Brent Crude: DOWN 21 cents at $65.91 per barrel
New York – Dow: DOWN 0.8 percent at 25,080.50 (close)
London – FTSE 100: DOWN 0.3 percent at 7,033.79 (close)
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