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ASIA-MARKETS-UPDATE
Asian markets retreat as trade deal euphoria fades
HONG KONG, Nov 5, 2018 (BSS/AFP) – Asian markets fell Monday after Donald
Trump’s top economics adviser downplayed the chances of a quick deal to end
the China-US trade war, taking the wind out of the sails of last week’s
rally.
The US leader fuelled a surge in the region’s equities Friday by tweeting
that he had held positive talks with Chinese President Xi Jinping, before a
report said he had even asked officials to draw up a draft bill with an eye
on a potential agreement.
But White House adviser Larry Kudlow later tempered expectations, telling
CNBC “there’s no massive movement to deal with trade”.
The news sent US markets into the red, snapping a three-day rally on Wall
Street, and sending Asian investors rushing for the door.
“Investors are far too wary of an empty promise,” said Stephen Innes, head
of Asia-Pacific trade at OANDA.
“But ultimately, they will need to decide how much of President Trump’s
olive branch to China was a ploy to boost equity markets ahead of the US mid-
term elections on Tuesday and how much of it is a bona fide attempt to reach
an agreement.”
Hong Kong — which climbed more than four percent Friday in its best day
for almost seven years — sank more than two percent, while Shanghai ended
down 0.4 percent.
Dealers are keeping tabs on a massive import expo in Shanghai that Xi
opened Monday by telling delegates China would increase efforts to open up
its economy.
He said authorities would “step up” moves to stimulate domestic
consumption of imports, lower tariffs, ease customs clearance procedures, and
implement harsh punishments for intellectual property infringements, a key
cause of Washington’s anger with Beijing.
– Eyes on mid-terms –
Tokyo finished 1.6 percent lower, Singapore dropped 1.7 percent and Seoul
was 0.9 percent off. Wellington and Taipei were also deep in negative
territory, while Sydney dropped 0.5 percent.
However, Manila gained one percent.
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In early European trade London fell 0.1 percent, while Paris and Frankfurt
were flat.
Traders are now keeping an eye on the US mid-term elections Tuesday, which
are seen as a vote on Trump’s performance since taking the White House, with
the Democrats looking to take control of the House of Representatives.
A win for them could also raise the chances of Trump being impeached,
fuelling uncertainty.
“The mid-term elections carry a considerable amount of political and
market risk not to mention legal risk for the current administration so that
the markets could swivel higher or lower on the outcome of this election,”
Innes added.
On currency markets the dollar was holding up against the yen after
Friday’s US jobs data showed another blockbuster number of new positions
created and the biggest jump in wages for nine years.
The data solidified expectations the Federal Reserve will press on with
its interest rate hikes next month and into 2019.
However, the greenback was lower against the pound after a report in the
Sunday Times in Britain said Prime Minister Theresa May had clinched a Brexit
deal with the European Union.
Oil prices slipped as the US reimposed sanctions on Iran but with a number
of countries including India, Japan and possibly China being given waivers to
continue buying from the country.
Adding to the downward pressure are expectations that major producers
Saudi Arabia and Russia will ramp up their own exports to make up for the
shortfall from Iran.
– Key figures around 0820 GMT –
Tokyo – Nikkei 225: DOWN 1.6 percent at 21,898.99 (close)
Hong Kong – Hang Seng: DOWN 2.1 percent at ,934.39 (close)
Shanghai – Composite: DOWN 0.4 percent at 2,665.43 (close)
London – FTSE 100: DOWN 0.1 percent at 7,086.46
Pound/dollar: UP at $1.3018 from $1.2967 at 2030 GMT on Friday
Euro/dollar: DOWN at $1.1393 from $1.1394
Dollar/yen: UP at 113.22 yen from 113.20 yen
Oil – West Texas Intermediate: DOWN 30 cents at $62.84 per barrel
Oil – Brent Crude: DOWN 18 cents at $72.65 per barrel
New York – Dow: DOWN 0.4 percent at 25,270.83 (close)
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